Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Wednesday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Club Social y Deportivo Defensa y Justiciamake playoffs66.8%+34.8Defensa y Justicia 2 - 1 OlimpiaLibertadores
Caracas Futbol Clubmake playoffs71.8+33.6Caracas 2 - 1 LibertadLibertadores
Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrensemake playoffs91.3+32.1Internacional 0 - 1 GremioLibertadores
FC Lahtimake playoffs51.7+22.8SJK 0 - 1 FC LahtiVeikkausliiga
Ilvesmake playoffs44.1+20.9IFK Mariehamn 0 - 2 IlvesVeikkausliiga
Clube Athletico Paranaensemake playoffs97.3+15.6Athletico-PR 2 - 0 Colo-ColoLibertadores
Sport Club do RecifeLibertadores29.9+11.6Sport Recife 1 - 0 CorinthiansSerie A
Club Jorge Wilstermannmake playoffs35.5+7.0Athletico-PR 2 - 0 Colo-ColoLibertadores
Racing Club de Avellanedamake playoffs97.4+5.9Alianza Lima 0 - 2 RacingLibertadores
Club Atletico Penarolmake playoffs24.1+3.9Athletico-PR 2 - 0 Colo-ColoLibertadores
Down
Club Olimpiamake playoffs37.4-34.1Defensa y Justicia 2 - 1 OlimpiaLibertadores
Club Libertadmake playoffs30.7-33.0Caracas 2 - 1 LibertadLibertadores
Club Social y Deportivo Colo-Colomake playoffs43.2-26.5Athletico-PR 2 - 0 Colo-ColoLibertadores
SJKmake playoffs26.6-24.1SJK 0 - 1 FC LahtiVeikkausliiga
Corporacion Deportiva Americamake playoffs9.5-16.9Internacional 0 - 1 GremioLibertadores
IFK Mariehamnmake playoffs10.8-16.3IFK Mariehamn 0 - 2 IlvesVeikkausliiga
Sport Club Corinthians PaulistaSerie B33.0+10.7Sport Recife 1 - 0 CorinthiansSerie A
Club Deportivo Universidad Catolicamake playoffs8.7-9.3Internacional 0 - 1 GremioLibertadores
Sport Club Internacionalmake playoffs90.5-5.9Internacional 0 - 1 GremioLibertadores
Estudiantes de Merida Futbol Clubmake playoffs2.6-4.6Alianza Lima 0 - 2 RacingLibertadores

Thursday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
Jorge WilstermannvsPenarol113Libertadores
DelfinvsSantos28Libertadores
I. MedellinvsBoca Juniors18Libertadores
HJKvsTPS6:30 PM1Veikkausliiga