"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Thursday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
AdelaideTop 449.4%+17.8Adelaide 100 - 67 North MelbourneAFL
Esporte Clube VitóriaSerie B22.0-15.5Grêmio 1 - 2 VitóriaSerie A
Halmstad BKpromoted67.9+15.1Halmstad 5 - 2 VärnamoSuperettan
Vinbergs IFwin title54.1+15.0Vinbergs IF 2 - 0 Ullareds IKDiv 2 Västra Gö
Höganäs BKrelegated6.1-8.1Högaborgs BK 0 - 1 Höganäs BKDiv 2 Västra Gö
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiraswin title42.8+4.7Grêmio 1 - 2 VitóriaSerie A
Clube de Regatas do FlamengoLibertadores38.1+2.9Grêmio 1 - 2 VitóriaSerie A
Sport Club Corinthians PaulistaLibertadores28.8+2.7Grêmio 1 - 2 VitóriaSerie A
Santos Futebol ClubeLibertadores28.5+2.4Grêmio 1 - 2 VitóriaSerie A
Associação Atlética Ponte PretaLibertadores10.0+1.2Grêmio 1 - 2 VitóriaSerie A
Down
North MelbourneTop 436.6-20.5Adelaide 100 - 67 North MelbourneAFL
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto AlegrenseLibertadores48.2-12.2Grêmio 1 - 2 VitóriaSerie A
IFK Värnamopromoted7.8-11.7Halmstad 5 - 2 VärnamoSuperettan
Högaborgs BKwin title4.7-7.4Högaborgs BK 0 - 1 Höganäs BKDiv 2 Västra Gö
Coritiba Football ClubSerie B50.5+3.8Coritiba 1 - 1 InternacionalSerie A
Sport Club do RecifeSerie B51.2+3.8São Paulo 0 - 0 Sport RecifeSerie A
IK Sirius FKwin title27.7-3.7Halmstad 5 - 2 VärnamoSuperettan
Lindome GIFwin title22.0-3.3Vinbergs IF 2 - 0 Ullareds IKDiv 2 Västra Gö
Ullareds IKrelegated4.5+2.3Vinbergs IF 2 - 0 Ullareds IKDiv 2 Västra Gö
Sport Club InternacionalLibertadores66.1-2.2Coritiba 1 - 1 InternacionalSerie A

Friday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
PenrithvsSouth Sydney7:50 PM46NRL
FlashvsBreakers43NWSL
Los AngelesvsTulsa10:30 PM34USL PRO
CRBvsVasco da Gama34Série B
HarrisburgvsCharlotte7:00 PM20USL PRO
PaysanduvsAtlético-GO18Série B
CearávsNáutico12Série B
CriciúmavsBragantino9Série B
Brasil de PelotasvsBahia4Série B
LuverdensevsLondrina3Série B