"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Tuesday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Senegalmake playoffs81.4%+31.4Poland 1 - 2 SenegalFIFA World Cup
Japanmake playoffs81.4+31.4Colombia 1 - 2 JapanFIFA World Cup
Russiamake playoffs99.8+6.5Russia 3 - 1 EgyptFIFA World Cup
Saudi Arabiamake playoffs7.8+1.0Colombia 1 - 2 JapanFIFA World Cup
Moroccomake playoffs11.7+0.1Poland 1 - 2 SenegalFIFA World Cup
Costa Ricamake playoffs11.9+0.1Russia 3 - 1 EgyptFIFA World Cup
Nigeriamake playoffs10.9+0.1Colombia 1 - 2 JapanFIFA World Cup
Perumake playoffs11.0+0.0Poland 1 - 2 SenegalFIFA World Cup
Croatiamake playoffs90.1+0.0Russia 3 - 1 EgyptFIFA World Cup
Panamamake playoffs9.2+0.0Russia 3 - 1 EgyptFIFA World Cup
Down
Colombiamake playoffs18.6-31.4Colombia 1 - 2 JapanFIFA World Cup
Polandmake playoffs18.6-31.4Poland 1 - 2 SenegalFIFA World Cup
Egyptmake playoffs1.0-7.1Russia 3 - 1 EgyptFIFA World Cup
Uruguaymake playoffs91.4-0.3Poland 1 - 2 SenegalFIFA World Cup
Spainmake playoffs49.5-0.1Poland 1 - 2 SenegalFIFA World Cup
Icelandmake playoffs49.5-0.0Russia 3 - 1 EgyptFIFA World Cup
Portugalmake playoffs49.5-0.0Russia 3 - 1 EgyptFIFA World Cup
Francemake playoffs85.1-0.0Russia 3 - 1 EgyptFIFA World Cup
Switzerlandmake playoffs49.4-0.0Poland 1 - 2 SenegalFIFA World Cup
Argentinamake playoffs49.5-0.0Poland 1 - 2 SenegalFIFA World Cup

Wednesday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
UruguayvsSaudi Arabia6:00 PM136FIFA World Cup
PortugalvsMorocco3:00 PM122FIFA World Cup
IranvsSpain9:00 PM117FIFA World Cup
BethlehemvsNew York II5:00 PM49USL
KuPSvsHJK6:30 PM26Veikkausliiga
ExpressvsBoston25NPSL NE-NA
IlvesvsFC Lahti6:30 PM5Veikkausliiga
HonkavsSJK7:15 PM1Veikkausliiga
VPSvsIFK Mariehamn6:30 PM0Veikkausliiga
TPSvsFC Inter6:30 PM0Veikkausliiga