"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Otagomake playoffs41.0%+29.5Auckland 21 - 27 (so) CanterburyITM Cup 2015
Högaborgs BKrelegated29.9-23.4Högaborgs BK 3 - 0 Angered UnitedDiv 2 Västra Gö
Anzhi MakhachkalaChampionship44.2-19.9Spartak Moskva 1 - 2 AnzhiPremier League
Örebro SKrelegated59.9-19.4Örebro 2 - 0 HäckenAllsvenskan
VfL WolfsburgUEFA CL48.7+19.4Wolfsburg 3 - 0 Schalke 04Bundesliga
ExcelsiorEerste Divisie13.7-18.1Excelsior 3 - 0 De GraafschapEredivisie
Paysandu Sport ClubSérie A56.4+14.6Paysandu 2 - 0 BragantinoSérie B
Atlético Clube GoianienseSérie C34.6-14.3Atlético-GO 3 - 2 CearáSérie B
ReadingFootball League One5.6-14.1Brentford 1 - 3 ReadingChampionship
GalatasarayFirst League9.1-13.7Konyaspor 1 - 4 GalatasaraySüper Lig
Down
NorthlandRelegated to Championship34.3+18.4Auckland 21 - 27 (so) CanterburyITM Cup 2015
UfaChampionship52.6+18.3Dynamo Moskva 2 - 0 UfaPremier League
Schalke 04UEFA CL20.3-16.0Wolfsburg 3 - 0 Schalke 04Bundesliga
KonyasporFirst League31.4+15.4Konyaspor 1 - 4 GalatasaraySüper Lig
IF Angered Unitedrelegated49.3+15.2Högaborgs BK 3 - 0 Angered UnitedDiv 2 Västra Gö
GaziantepsporFirst League35.4+15.1Gaziantepspor 0 - 4 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
Southlandmake playoffs52.8-13.8Taranaki 27 - 34 (ot) OtagoITM Cup 2015
EspanyolUEFA CL14.3-13.8Villarreal 3 - 1 EspanyolLa Liga
ZenitUEFA CL25.8-13.6Zenit 1 - 3 Krylya SovetovPremier League
Real BetisSegunda Division31.3+13.3Real Madrid 5 - 0 Real BetisLa Liga

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
Bay of PlentyvsWaikato83ITM Cup 2015
SouthlandvsNorth Harbour69ITM Cup 2015
SoundersvsTimbers64MLS
SoundersvsTimbers62MLS
TorontovsCharlotte3:00 PM54USL PRO
PS KemivsHaka6:30 PM52Ykkönen
TolucavsLeón52Liga MX
IFK GöteborgvsGefle3:00 PM48Allsvenskan
ElfsborgvsGIF Sundsvall5:30 PM40Allsvenskan
Akropolis IFvsUmeå FC4:00 PM35Div 1 Norra