"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
San Francisco ShockIn Contention77.0%+16.7Shock 4 - 0 FuelOWL
Atlanta ReignIn Contention77.0+16.7Mayhem 0 - 4 ReignOWL
Toronto DefiantIn Contention76.8+16.5Outlaws 2 - 3 DefiantOWL
Chengdu HuntersIn Contention76.8+16.5Charge 2 - 3 HuntersOWL
Cincinnati CyclonesBrabham74.0+16.3FLA 3 - 4 MANECHL
Carolina Hurricanesmake playoffs61.9+9.3Carolina 3 - 0 DallasNHL
Arizona Coyotesmake playoffs22.6+8.9Arizona 2 - 0 TorontoNHL
Associacao Desportiva Sao CaetanoSerie A251.8-8.9Novorizontino 0 - 0 Ponte PretaCamp. Paulista
Kalamazoo Wingsmake playoffs77.2+8.8KAL 4 - 1 ADKECHL
Indy Fuelmake playoffs26.2+7.6WIC 0 - 5 INDECHL
Down
Dallas FuelIn Contention42.6-17.8Shock 4 - 0 FuelOWL
Florida MayhemIn Contention42.6-17.8Mayhem 0 - 4 ReignOWL
Guangzhou ChargeIn Contention42.8-17.6Charge 2 - 3 HuntersOWL
Houston OutlawsIn Contention42.8-17.5Outlaws 2 - 3 DefiantOWL
Florida EverbladesBrabham22.9-15.5FLA 3 - 4 MANECHL
Wheeling Nailersmake playoffs30.0-15.0WHL 0 - 2 BRMECHL
Colorado Avalanchemake playoffs31.8-9.1Colorado 0 - 3 St. LouisNHL
Montreal Canadiensmake playoffs71.8-8.1Tampa Bay 3 - 0 MontrealNHL
Pittsburgh Penguinsmake playoffs76.4-7.9Pittsburgh 4 - 5 CalgaryNHL
Aris Thessalonikimake playoffs51.4-7.5Panathinaikos 1 - 0 AsterasGreece Super League

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
CorinthiansvsSao Paulo7:00 PM119Camp. Paulista
FerroviariavsPalmeiras5:00 PM62Camp. Paulista
San DiegovsUtah49MLR
ArisvsPanionios48Greece Super League
SeattlevsToronto45MLR
ORLvsMAN1:30 PM43ECHL
FWvsWHL5:00 PM41ECHL
PortlandvsSeattle36WHL
MinnesotavsSt. Louis3:00 PM32NHL
SCvsATL3:05 PM32ECHL