"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Sunday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
America Futebol Clube-MGwin title66.6%+14.0Vitoria 0 - 0 ChapecoenseSerie B
Sport Club Internacionalwin title25.7+7.8Internacional 4 - 2 FortalezaSerie A
Santos Futebol ClubeLibertadores28.4+7.7Santos 2 - 1 BotafogoSerie A
Clube Atletico Mineirowin title21.3+7.4Atletico-MG 3 - 1 Atletico-GOSerie A
Esporte Clube VitoriaSerie C44.1-4.3Ponte Preta 2 - 0 NauticoSerie B
Figueirense Futebol ClubeSerie C43.3-4.0Ponte Preta 2 - 0 NauticoSerie B
Clube Atletico BragantinoSerie B0.9-3.6Ceara 1 - 2 BragantinoSerie A
Parana ClubeSerie C81.7-2.5Ponte Preta 2 - 0 NauticoSerie B
Associacao Atletica Ponte PretaSerie A4.5+2.3Ponte Preta 2 - 0 NauticoSerie B
Esporte Clube BahiaSerie B44.8-1.9Internacional 4 - 2 FortalezaSerie A
Down
Associacao Chapecoense de Futebolwin title33.4-14.0Vitoria 0 - 0 ChapecoenseSerie B
Sao Paulo Futebol Clubewin title40.2-13.9Athletico-PR 1 - 1 Sao PauloSerie A
Clube Nautico CapibaribeSerie C35.3+11.8Ponte Preta 2 - 0 NauticoSerie B
Fortaleza Esporte ClubeSerie B28.4+7.3Internacional 4 - 2 FortalezaSerie A
Gremio Foot-Ball Porto AlegrenseLibertadores74.7-3.2Santos 2 - 1 BotafogoSerie A
Fluminense Football ClubLibertadores29.7-2.9Santos 2 - 1 BotafogoSerie A
Clube de Regatas do FlamengoLibertadores81.6-2.1Santos 2 - 1 BotafogoSerie A
Sport Club Corinthians PaulistaLibertadores13.6-1.8Santos 2 - 1 BotafogoSerie A
Sociedade Esportiva PalmeirasLibertadores77.4-1.4Santos 2 - 1 BotafogoSerie A
Ceara Sporting ClubLibertadores0.4-1.3Ceara 1 - 2 BragantinoSerie A

Monday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
GoiasvsFlamengo8:00 PM12Serie A
PalmeirasvsCorinthians10Serie A